NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 12, 2023
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Thorne | 25 | 12 | 64.1% | 1 | 32.0 | 1 |
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 25 | 12 | 64.1% | 1 | 31.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Gavin Gray | 21 | 12 | 53.8% | 3 | 27.3 | 4 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 21 | 12 | 53.8% | 3 | 28.3 | 3 |
| 3 | Luke Phelan | 21 | 12 | 53.8% | 3 | 26.8 | 5 |
| 6 | Matt Hogel | 19 | 12 | 48.7% | 6 | 25.7 | 6 |
| 7 | Andrew Moeller | 18 | 12 | 46.2% | 7 | 23.2 | 8 |
| 7 | Karl Loiseau | 18 | 12 | 46.2% | 7 | 24.0 | 7 |
| 9 | Dan Ellenberger | 17 | 12 | 43.6% | 9 | 22.1 | 9 |
| 10 | Steve Creaser | 13 | 12 | 33.3% | 10 | 17.6 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 10 | 13.1 | ARI | 0.88 |
| Detroit Lions | 9 | 11.0 | DEN | 0.67 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 7.9 | GB | 0.38 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 10 | 12.3 | JAX | 0.62 |
| Cleveland Browns | 8 | 10.1 | CHI | 0.62 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 9.1 | PIT | 0.59 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8 | 11.1 | NE | 0.80 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 8.8 | CIN | 0.38 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 8.4 | WAS | 0.73 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 13.1 | SEA | 0.64 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 8.0 | CAR | 0.61 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 6.2 | LAC | 0.61 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 12.7 | BUF | 0.41 |
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 8.4 | TB | 0.62 |
| New York Giants | 5 | 5.7 | NO | 0.30 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 10.4 | BAL | 0.38 |
| New Orleans Saints | 6 | 8.3 | NYG | 0.70 |
| Chicago Bears | 5 | 7.0 | CLE | 0.38 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 7 | 9.6 | DAL | 0.59 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 8.7 | IND | 0.41 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 4.9 | LA | 0.27 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 9.3 | DET | 0.33 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6 | 8.3 | PHI | 0.36 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 6.4 | LV | 0.39 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 9 | 11.2 | NYJ | 0.79 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 8.8 | MIN | 0.62 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 2.1 | ATL | 0.39 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New York Jets | 5 | 6.7 | MIA | 0.21 |
| Tennessee Titans | 5 | 6.6 | HOU | 0.57 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 4.3 | KC | 0.20 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 10 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 9 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 10 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 8 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8 | 2 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 5 | 19 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 6 | 14 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| Chicago Bears | 5 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 7 | 4 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 25 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 8 | 8 | -3 | 13 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| Miami Dolphins | 9 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 26 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| New York Jets | 5 | 10 | 7 | -2 | 14 |
| Tennessee Titans | 5 | 12 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 24 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
Draft Results
